Eastleigh 2-1 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Feb 2026

📅25/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.0
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
13%
4.91
X/2
11%
6.69
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.83
2/X
10%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.72/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.51
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Truro City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2025 Truro City Truro City 0-2 HT 0-2 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
2-1
AWAY Truro City
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh squeezed past Truro City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eastleigh as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eastleigh had 48% of the ball to Truro City's 52%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Truro City?

Eastleigh 2-1 Truro City in the England - National League on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastleigh win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 43%, draw 29%, Truro City 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastleigh), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastleigh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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