Gateshead 4-4 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Feb 2026

📅25/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.2
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
13%
5.63
X/2
13%
6.37
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1
7%
22.65
2/2
13%
3.87
2/X
6%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -29%
1.14/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.03/2.91
-22% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / -53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
148 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 114 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Morecambe
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Gateshead Gateshead 0-3 HT 0-2 Morecambe Morecambe İNFAT
30.09.2025 Morecambe Morecambe 2-5 HT 1-4 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
4-4
AWAY Morecambe
73% Ball Possession 27%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead and Morecambe shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Gateshead had 73% of the ball to Morecambe's 27%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gateshead and 2.50 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Morecambe?

Gateshead 4-4 Morecambe in the England - National League on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 42%, draw 25%, Morecambe 33%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gateshead) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
25 Feb 2026
22:45 Eastleigh vs Truro City Analysis →
22:45 Yeovil vs Sutton United Analysis →
22:45 Braintree Town vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
22:45 Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United Analysis →