Yeovil 3-2 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 25 Feb 2026

📅25/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
8%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 32% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.51
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
13%
5.99
X/X
10%
4.62
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
16%
3.98
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.02/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.18
-31% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
154 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 111 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sutton United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Passes 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2025 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
26.04.2025 Yeovil Yeovil 1-2 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
24.09.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
09.03.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
27.10.2020 Yeovil Yeovil 1-2 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
28.12.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 3-2 HT 2-2 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
3-2
AWAY Sutton United
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil squeezed past Sutton United 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Yeovil made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yeovil had 49% of the ball to Sutton United's 51%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yeovil and 1.67 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Sutton United?

Yeovil 3-2 Sutton United in the England - National League on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 38%, draw 26%, Sutton United 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeovil) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yeovil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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