Sutton United 1-2 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 30 Sep 2025

Sutton United
1-2 HT 0-0
Yeovil
📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Sutton United vs Yeovil Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.48
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
16%
5.27
X/2
13%
5.95
X/X
10%
4.47
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.2
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Yeovil — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +25%
1.44/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.09
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
153 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 145 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sutton United vs Yeovil Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Yeovil
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.04.2025 Yeovil Yeovil 1-2 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
24.09.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
09.03.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
27.10.2020 Yeovil Yeovil 1-2 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
28.12.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 3-2 HT 2-2 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
03.09.2019 Yeovil Yeovil 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

Sutton United 1-2 Yeovil — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-2
AWAY Yeovil
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil squeezed past Sutton United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sutton United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sutton United had 50% of the ball to Yeovil's 50%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sutton United and 1.00 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Yeovil?

Sutton United 1-2 Yeovil in the England - National League on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 41%, draw 25%, Yeovil 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sutton United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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