Boreham Wood 1-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.55
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.57
X/2
12%
5.9
X/X
9%
4.81
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
17%
3.88
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.34/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.12
-7% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
116 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 126 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Southend United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Southend United Southend United 4-2 HT 3-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
28.10.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
14.03.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
20.12.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 1-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood FAK
06.08.2022 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
26.04.2022 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 0-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
1-1
AWAY Southend United
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood and Southend United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 50% of the ball to Southend United's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boreham Wood and 1.33 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Southend United?

Boreham Wood 1-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 37%, draw 26%, Southend United 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boreham Wood) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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