Gzira United 3-2 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 25 Feb 2026

📅25/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.0pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.2pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.26
-100% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.01.2026 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
18.08.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 5-3 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
19.04.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
08.02.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 1-4 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MALTP
25.08.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
07.02.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTAK
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United nicked a narrow win over Hibernians FC 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 19% / 39%) promised a tight game; Gzira United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gzira United and 2.67 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Hibernians FC?

Gzira United 3-2 Hibernians FC in the Malta - FA Cup on 25/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 41%, draw 19%, Hibernians FC 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ BTTS No
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