Alcione 2-2 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.64
Over
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.56
2-3
39%
1.73
4-5
20%
4.22
6+
10%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 54%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-55% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
1W-0D-0L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-2 HT 0-1 Alcione İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
2-2
AWAY GIANA Erminio
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alcione vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione and GIANA Erminio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was GIANA Erminio at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alcione had 39% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 61%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Alcione vs GIANA Erminio?

Alcione 2-2 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated an GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alcione 25%, draw 27%, GIANA Erminio 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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