Lecco 0-1 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.15
2-3
37%
1.76
4-5
26%
3.45
6+
9%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 57%
+14% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.32/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.21
+24% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atalanta II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.12.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 5-2 HT 3-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
0-1
AWAY Atalanta II
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II edged past Lecco 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atalanta II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecco had 44% of the ball to Atalanta II's 56%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Atalanta II?

Lecco 0-1 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lecco 29%, draw 26%, Atalanta II 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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