Deportes Iquique 2-2 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.75
Over
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.87
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
20%
3.74
6+
10%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.87 — our 29% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.5
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.35
X/2
9%
8.38
X/X
15%
4.66
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
12%
6.83
2/X
5%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 26%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.51
-34% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
Crosses 12.5
Yellow Cards 4.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
2-2
AWAY Cienciano
0.29 xG 1.48
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
127 Passes 454
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Iquique and Cienciano shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Iquique at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 28% of the ball to Cienciano's 72%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.29 to 1.48.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs Cienciano?

Deportes Iquique 2-2 Cienciano in the Copa Sudamericana on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Iquique win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 42%, draw 29%, Cienciano 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Iquique) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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