Palestino vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palestino v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Palestino 2-1 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Palestino nicked a narrow win over Cruzeiro 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Palestino made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Palestino had 39% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 61%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.04 to 1.58 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cruzeiro.
What was the final score of Palestino vs Cruzeiro?
Palestino 2-1 Cruzeiro in the Copa Sudamericana on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palestino vs Cruzeiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Palestino 38%, draw 31%, Cruzeiro 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palestino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.