Godoy Cruz 2-2 Gremio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.45
Over
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.01
2-3
43%
1.79
4-5
15%
5.9
6+
10%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.95
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
13%
6.03
X/2
10%
5.11
X/X
15%
3.37
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.84
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio EU Bookmakers 40%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Godoy Cruz
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Gremio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
265 Passes 389
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2017 Gremio Gremio 2-1 HT 1-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz LKU
05.07.2017 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-1 HT 0-1 Gremio Gremio LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
2-2
AWAY Gremio
1.47 xG 1.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
311 Passes 197
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs Gremio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz and Gremio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Godoy Cruz had 60% of the ball to Gremio's 40%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.47 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gremio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Godoy Cruz and 1.50 for Gremio.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs Gremio?

Godoy Cruz 2-2 Gremio in the Copa Sudamericana on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs Gremio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 35%, draw 31%, Gremio 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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