Orleans 1-5 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.64
Over
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.53
2-3
41%
1.73
4-5
21%
4.29
6+
10%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.99
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
9%
6.46
X/2
15%
4.95
X/X
15%
4.07
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.32
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orleans EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.24/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.07
+9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orleans
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Nancy
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2024 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
15.03.2024 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
06.10.2023 Orleans Orleans 1-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
20.01.2023 Nancy Nancy 0-1 HT 0-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
19.08.2022 Orleans Orleans 0-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
POST-MATCH Orleans vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy ran out comfortable winners over Orleans 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Nancy made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Orleans and 0.40 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Orleans vs Nancy?

Orleans 1-5 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orleans vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Orleans 33%, draw 28%, Nancy 38%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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