Concarneau 5-1 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 30% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +0%
1.27/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.08
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
412 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Quevilly
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 1.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
421 Passes 345
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Quevilly Quevilly 2-1 HT 2-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
20.04.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 0-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
16.09.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 2-3 HT 0-3 Concarneau Concarneau FR2
09.03.2021 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
18.09.2020 Concarneau Concarneau 1-1 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
21.02.2020 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
5-1
AWAY Quevilly
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau ran out comfortable winners over Quevilly 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Concarneau made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Concarneau had 58% of the ball to Quevilly's 42%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Concarneau had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Concarneau and 0.83 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Quevilly?

Concarneau 5-1 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 40%, draw 31%, Quevilly 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Concarneau) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Concarneau) ✗ Under 2.5
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