Villefranche 1-1 Boulogne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.32
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.75
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.84
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
11%
14.1
X/1
10%
6.21
X/2
18%
5.12
X/X
13%
3.77
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.59
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Boulogne EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.14/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.47
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Boulogne
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2024 Boulogne Boulogne 1-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
01.03.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 2-1 HT 1-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
03.09.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 0-1 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
27.02.2021 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
28.09.2020 Boulogne Boulogne 0-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
1-1
AWAY Boulogne
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Boulogne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche and Boulogne couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Boulogne at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Villefranche had 53% of the ball to Boulogne's 47%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Villefranche had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Villefranche and 0.60 for Boulogne.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Boulogne?

Villefranche 1-1 Boulogne in the France - National League 1 on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Boulogne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 29%, draw 30%, Boulogne 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boulogne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boulogne) ✓ Under 2.5
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