Sochaux 1-2 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 25 Apr 2025

Sochaux
1-2 HT 1-1
Dijon
📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Sochaux vs Dijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
24.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.42 — our 36% vs market 33.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.93
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
11%
5.49
X/2
10%
5.78
X/X
18%
3.87
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
21%
4.26
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sochaux v Dijon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -7%
1.45/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.41
+22% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Sochaux vs Dijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dijon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 1.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
412 Passes 353
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2024 Dijon Dijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
03.05.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 0-0 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
15.12.2023 Dijon Dijon 0-3 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
01.05.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 0-2 HT 0-2 Dijon Dijon FR2
10.09.2022 Dijon Dijon 0-2 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
14.05.2022 Sochaux Sochaux 2-2 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR2

Sochaux 1-2 Dijon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sochaux
1-2
AWAY Dijon
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon squeezed past Sochaux 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dijon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sochaux had 43% of the ball to Dijon's 57%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sochaux had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sochaux and 0.67 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Dijon?

Sochaux 1-2 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 33%, draw 30%, Dijon 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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