Valenciennes 0-1 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.13
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
5.36
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.23
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
13%
6.22
X/2
11%
4.72
X/X
14%
3.72
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.44
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
0.96/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.18
-16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Le Mans FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 375
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FRK
13.12.2024 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR3
24.01.2020 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
09.08.2019 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
17.04.2010 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR1
09.01.2010 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
0-1
AWAY Le Mans FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC edged past Valenciennes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Le Mans FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valenciennes had 52% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 48%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valenciennes and 1.00 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Le Mans FC?

Valenciennes 0-1 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 36%, draw 27%, Le Mans FC 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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