Spennymoor Town 1-1 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 31% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.59/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.37
-4% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Marine
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2025 Marine Marine 0-2 HT 0-2 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
25.02.2025 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Marine Marine İCON
26.11.2024 Marine Marine 2-2 HT 1-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
16.09.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-2 Marine Marine FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
1-1
AWAY Marine
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town and Marine couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 52% of the ball to Marine's 48%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.25 for Marine.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Marine?

Spennymoor Town 1-1 Marine in the England - Conference on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 46%, draw 27%, Marine 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Under 2.5
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