Stoke City vs Portsmouth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City v Portsmouth — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City vs Portsmouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Portsmouth
İNLK
1-2
HT 1-0
Stoke City
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Portsmouth
İNP
Stoke City 1-3 Portsmouth — Actual Match Statistics
Portsmouth beat Stoke City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Portsmouth made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Stoke City had 48% of the ball to Portsmouth's 52%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.51 to 1.61.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stoke City and 0.83 for Portsmouth.
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Portsmouth?
Stoke City 1-3 Portsmouth in the England - Championship on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Portsmouth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 40%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stoke City) went the other way.