Norwich City 1-1 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.17
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.26
X/2
8%
9.28
X/X
8%
5.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.8
2/2
14%
7.14
2/X
5%
15.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-5.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.66/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.51
+8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.3 Crosses 17.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Swansea City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.52
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
353 Passes 504
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
25.01.2025 Norwich City Norwich City 5-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
14.09.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
04.10.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
22.04.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 0-3 HT 0-2 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
10.12.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
1-1
AWAY Swansea City
1.71 xG 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
335 Passes 324
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City and Swansea City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Norwich City at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Norwich City had 51% of the ball to Swansea City's 49%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.71 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Norwich City and 1.50 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Swansea City?

Norwich City 1-1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 49%, draw 20%, Swansea City 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Norwich City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norwich City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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