Darmstadt 98 3-3 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
7.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.04
1/2
7%
22.25
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
11%
6.62
X/2
15%
5.52
X/X
10%
5.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
26.0
2/2
19%
3.06
2/X
8%
12.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.51/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.32
+1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
19.4 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Elversberg
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.61 xG 1.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
334 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Elversberg Elversberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
08.02.2025 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-3 HT 0-2 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
31.08.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 4-0 HT 2-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
20.12.2013 Elversberg Elversberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL3
20.07.2013 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-0 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
3-3
AWAY Elversberg
1.61 xG 1.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
281 Passes 313
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 and Elversberg shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Elversberg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 48% of the ball to Elversberg's 52%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.61 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Elversberg led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.40 for Elversberg.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Elversberg?

Darmstadt 98 3-3 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 35%, draw 24%, Elversberg 41%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elversberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026
14:00 Preussen Münster vs Arminia Bielefeld Analysis →
14:00 Karlsruher SC vs Hannover 96 Analysis →
14:00 Hertha Berlin vs Holstein Kiel Analysis →