Hertha Berlin vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hertha Berlin v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals
Hertha Berlin vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Hertha Berlin
AL2
1-3
HT 1-2
Holstein Kiel
HAZ
Hertha Berlin 0-1 Holstein Kiel — Actual Match Statistics
Holstein Kiel nicked a narrow win over Hertha Berlin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hertha Berlin had 59% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 41%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.12 to 0.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hertha Berlin.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.75 for Holstein Kiel.
What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Holstein Kiel?
Hertha Berlin 0-1 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Holstein Kiel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 52%, draw 22%, Holstein Kiel 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.