Preussen Münster 2-3 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 26% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.94
1/2
10%
24.8
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
11%
6.84
X/2
13%
4.86
X/X
10%
4.67
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
21%
2.92
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.37/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.56
-20% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
337 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
18.7 Crosses 26.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.70 xG 1.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
257 Passes 249
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 HT 1-1 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL2
21.01.2024 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 2-1 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
19.08.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 4-0 HT 2-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
18.04.2015 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 HT 0-1 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
19.10.2014 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 3-1 HT 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
09.03.2013 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
2-3
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
2.00 xG 1.07
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
301 Passes 151
76% Pass Accuracy 62%
33 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld nicked a narrow win over Preussen Münster 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 62% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 38%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.00 to 1.07 — the balance of chances actually favoured Preussen Münster.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preussen Münster had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Preussen Münster and 1.67 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Preussen Münster 2-3 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 30%, draw 25%, Arminia Bielefeld 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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