Nacional Potosi 1-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-3.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.64/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.30
-1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
23.4 Crosses 14.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
314 Passes 234
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2025 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-1 HT 3-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
19.11.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-0 HT 2-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLPLK
24.09.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-2 HT 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
01.06.2025 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
09.12.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
18.08.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 0-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
1-1
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0.54 xG 1.45
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
421 Passes 240
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi and Gualberto Villarroel SJ couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nacional Potosi at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 62% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 38%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.54 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gualberto Villarroel SJ led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.50 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Nacional Potosi 1-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 57%, draw 21%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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