Independiente Petrolero 2-1 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.2pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.24/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.75
+9% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.3 Crosses 10.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 1.22
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
258 Passes 303
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.12.2025 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-3 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
16.07.2025 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
12.07.2025 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
25.06.2025 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLPLK
10.12.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 2-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
17.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2-1
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.17 xG 0.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero nicked a narrow win over Universitario de Vinto 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 53% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 47%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.17 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.67 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?

Independiente Petrolero 2-1 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 46%, draw 21%, Universitario de Vinto 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Petrolero), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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