Universitario de Vinto 3-0 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 224
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.12.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 2-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
17.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.03.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
04.03.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.10.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
17.08.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
3-0
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto ran out comfortable winners over Independiente Petrolero 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitario de Vinto as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 53% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 47%, shots finished 18-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.33 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?

Universitario de Vinto 3-0 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 44%, draw 27%, Independiente Petrolero 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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