Independiente Petrolero 1-1 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.1pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
1.17/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.76
+44% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.8 Crosses 11.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.40 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
224 Passes 285
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.06.2025 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLPLK
10.12.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 2-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
17.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.03.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
04.03.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.10.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
1-1
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
0.96 xG 0.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
235 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero and Universitario de Vinto shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 48% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 52%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.67 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?

Independiente Petrolero 1-1 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 36%, draw 30%, Universitario de Vinto 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ BTTS Yes
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