Universitario de Vinto 2-3 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 11 Dec 2025

Universitario de Vinto
2-3 HT 2-0
Independiente Petrolero
📅11/12/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2025

Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.9pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Universitario de Vinto v Independiente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.29/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.10
-17% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.1 Crosses 26.2
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.6

Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.87 xG 1.31
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 Passes 213
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.07.2025 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
12.07.2025 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
25.06.2025 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLPLK
10.12.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 2-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
17.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.03.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ

Universitario de Vinto 2-3 Independiente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2-3
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
2.65 xG 1.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
23 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 5
249 Passes 403
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
37 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero nicked a narrow win over Universitario de Vinto 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Independiente Petrolero made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 41% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 59%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 2.65 to 1.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured Universitario de Vinto.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.17 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?

Universitario de Vinto 2-3 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 11/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 40%, draw 26%, Independiente Petrolero 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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