FC Lahti 2-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.28
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.65
X/1
15%
5.92
X/2
13%
5.13
X/X
8%
4.35
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
22%
3.44
2/X
8%
13.4
Value flag · 1/X at 13.65 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.39/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.28
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.6 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Oulu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.42 xG 1.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
289 Passes 356
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Oulu Oulu 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
14.07.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-2 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
12.06.2024 Oulu Oulu 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
22.09.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
12.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
26.05.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-2 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
2-1
AWAY Oulu
0.51 xG 0.62
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
290 Passes 301
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti edged past Oulu 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Oulu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Lahti had 47% of the ball to Oulu's 53%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.51 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Lahti and 1.83 for Oulu.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs Oulu?

FC Lahti 2-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 32%, draw 27%, Oulu 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oulu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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