Inter Turku 1-0 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.55
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
19.75
X/1
20%
3.74
X/2
5%
16.9
X/X
10%
7.05
2/1
8%
22.25
2/2
5%
14.75
2/X
5%
23.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-4.7pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.3pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
2.21/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.98
-5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
38.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
22.5 Crosses 11.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
4W-2D-0L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.81 xG 0.97
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
468 Passes 264
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.01.2026 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
02.07.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
10.05.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-2 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
26.01.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-0 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
06.10.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
02.08.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
1-0
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.51 xG 0.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
26 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
381 Passes 331
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
60 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku edged past IFK Mariehamn 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Turku had 53% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 47%, shots finished 26-3, expected goals 1.51 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter Turku's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Inter Turku and 0.33 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

Inter Turku 1-0 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 66%, draw 20%, IFK Mariehamn 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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25 Apr 2026
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