Inter Turku 1-0 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.21 — our 28% vs market 18.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.7pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 17%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.78/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.47
-13% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
565 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
3W-2D-1L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.77 xG 0.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
467 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
10.05.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-2 HT 1-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
26.01.2025 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-0 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
06.10.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
02.08.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
05.05.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 3-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
1-0
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku nicked a narrow win over IFK Mariehamn 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 57% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 43%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Inter Turku and 0.83 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

Inter Turku 1-0 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - League Cup on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 62%, draw 21%, IFK Mariehamn 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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