VPS 1-4 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 24 Jan 2026

VPS
1-4 HT 1-1
Oulu
📅24/01/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 43%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Oulu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.56 xG 1.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Oulu Oulu 2-0 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
28.06.2025 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
05.04.2025 VPS VPS 4-3 HT 0-2 Oulu Oulu FİN
08.02.2025 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
19.06.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
27.04.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
POST-MATCH VPS vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu ran out comfortable winners over VPS 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Oulu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for VPS and 1.67 for Oulu.

What was the final score of VPS vs Oulu?

VPS 1-4 Oulu in the Finland - League Cup on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split VPS 37%, draw 27%, Oulu 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VPS), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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