Oulu 2-1 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 28 Jun 2025

Oulu
2-1 HT 1-1
VPS
📅28/06/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.18
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
12%
6.05
X/2
11%
5.52
X/X
11%
4.44
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.63
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.17/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.27
-9% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.3 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY VPS
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.90 xG 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
358 Passes 355
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 VPS VPS 4-3 HT 0-2 Oulu Oulu FİN
08.02.2025 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
19.06.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
27.04.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
17.02.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
15.07.2023 VPS VPS 3-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
2-1
AWAY VPS
0.84 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oulu vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu nicked a narrow win over VPS 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Oulu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Oulu had 45% of the ball to VPS's 55%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.84 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Oulu and 2.17 for VPS.

What was the final score of Oulu vs VPS?

Oulu 2-1 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oulu 33%, draw 27%, VPS 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VPS), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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