SJK Seinajoki 4-1 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.89
Over 2.5
51%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
6.64
2-3 Goals
43%
2.2
4-5 Goals
23%
2.57
6+ Goals
10%
5.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.64 — our 24% vs market 11.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.67
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.75
X/1
13%
4.25
X/2
10%
14.35
X/X
8%
8.25
2/1
8%
18.4
2/2
10%
10.35
2/X
6%
18.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
31%
+18.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
69%
-18.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.5pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.93/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.51
-7% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
26.6 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
4W-0D-2L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.86 xG 0.47
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
478 Passes 235
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-2 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
21.07.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-4 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
31.05.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-2 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
26.08.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 3-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
11.06.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
11.09.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-0 HT 2-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
4-1
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
402 Passes 342
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki cruised past IFK Mariehamn 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 54% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 46%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 1.17 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs IFK Mariehamn?

SJK Seinajoki 4-1 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 53%, draw 22%, IFK Mariehamn 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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