Haka 0-4 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
5.28
2-3 Goals
37%
2.03
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.28 — our 29% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.44
1/2
8%
19.85
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
8%
9.33
X/2
16%
4.65
X/X
12%
6.32
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.22
2/X
5%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
53%
Away Win
53%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.3pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 57%
+12% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.51/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.99
+64% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
21.4 Crosses 15.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.68 xG 2.74
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
262 Passes 384
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 2-1 Haka Haka FİN
14.09.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
15.07.2024 Haka Haka 4-3 HT 1-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
17.05.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 5-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
16.02.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FLK
15.09.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
0-4
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.62 xG 2.28
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
185 Passes 577
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
11 Box Touches 44
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haka vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere cruised past Haka 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Haka had 29% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 71%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.62 to 2.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Haka and 3.00 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of Haka vs Ilves Tampere?

Haka 0-4 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Haka 24%, draw 24%, Ilves Tampere 53%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ BTTS No
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