FC Lahti 2-0 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.2pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.83/1.33
-45% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
3W-0D-3L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.94 xG 2.12
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
233 Passes 464
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
11.04.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
27.02.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-0 HT 2-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
08.07.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
07.06.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-2 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
08.02.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 5-2 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti saw off HJK Helsinki 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 20% / 43%) promised a tight game; FC Lahti found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Lahti and 2.00 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki?

FC Lahti 2-0 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - League Cup on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 38%, draw 20%, HJK Helsinki 43%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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