Oulu 2-0 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Oct 2025

Oulu
2-0 HT 1-0
VPS
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.91
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
13%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.1
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.21
X/2
12%
6.55
X/X
18%
5.14
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
13%
4.41
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.39/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.35
-3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.1 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY VPS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.98 xG 1.92
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
283 Passes 361
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
05.04.2025 VPS VPS 4-3 HT 0-2 Oulu Oulu FİN
08.02.2025 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
19.06.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
27.04.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
17.02.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
2-0
AWAY VPS
1.89 xG 0.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
307 Passes 276
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 3
20 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oulu vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu beat VPS 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Oulu made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oulu had 54% of the ball to VPS's 46%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.89 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oulu and 1.83 for VPS.

What was the final score of Oulu vs VPS?

Oulu 2-0 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Oulu 37%, draw 31%, VPS 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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