SJK Seinajoki 2-1 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
6.27
2-3 Goals
33%
2.15
4-5 Goals
26%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
5.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.93
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
19.3
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
7%
7.98
X/2
7%
5.08
X/X
10%
6.61
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
27%
2.48
2/X
10%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.3 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.9pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.43/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.01
-1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
21.4 Crosses 18.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.31 xG 1.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
346 Passes 462
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
18.06.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-3 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
25.01.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-1 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FLK
19.10.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-0 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
19.06.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-2 HT 1-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
15.06.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-4 HT 2-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
2-1
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.38 xG 1.92
25% Ball Possession 75%
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
156 Passes 622
67% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 51
8 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki edged past Ilves Tampere 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 25% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 75%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.38 to 1.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ilves Tampere.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Seinajoki had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 2.00 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs Ilves Tampere?

SJK Seinajoki 2-1 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 31%, draw 25%, Ilves Tampere 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
4 Oct 2025
15:00 Oulu vs VPS Analysis →
17:00 KTP Kotka vs IFK Mariehamn Analysis →