Incheon United 1-0 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.64
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.48
X/2
10%
7.74
X/X
14%
4.27
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
11%
6.17
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 28%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.40
-1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Jeju United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
360 Passes 303
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-2 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
10.08.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-1 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
26.06.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
06.04.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
16.09.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.05.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-0
AWAY Jeju United
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
467 Passes 350
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United nicked a narrow win over Jeju United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Incheon United had 56% of the ball to Jeju United's 44%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Incheon United and 1.17 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Jeju United?

Incheon United 1-0 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 41%, draw 32%, Jeju United 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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