Felgueiras 1932 2-1 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -17%
1.53/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.15
-48% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.2 Crosses 17.6
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Felgueiras 1932
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
2.51 xG 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
125 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-3 HT 2-1 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
08.03.2025 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 2-2 HT 0-1 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
11.10.2024 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-3 HT 1-2 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
06.05.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 0-2 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR3
16.04.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 4-1 HT 2-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
2-1
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.06 xG 2.30
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
106 Passes 419
67% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 nicked a narrow win over Uniao De Leiria 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Uniao De Leiria at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 34% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 66%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 1.06 to 2.30 — on chances, Uniao De Leiria could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Felgueiras 1932 and 2.20 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Uniao De Leiria?

Felgueiras 1932 2-1 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 31%, draw 23%, Uniao De Leiria 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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