Leixoes 2-0 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 28%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.38/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.56
+8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses 17.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Portimonense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
217 Passes 284
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2025 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
02.03.2025 Portimonense Portimonense 2-1 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
05.10.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 3-0 HT 3-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
30.07.2023 Leixoes Leixoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense PRLK
08.11.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
23.05.2015 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
2-0
AWAY Portimonense
4.89 xG 0.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 5
292 Passes 189
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes got the better of Portimonense 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leixoes as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Leixoes had 62% of the ball to Portimonense's 38%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 4.89 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leixoes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leixoes and 0.83 for Portimonense.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Portimonense?

Leixoes 2-0 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 48%, draw 24%, Portimonense 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leixoes) ✗ BTTS Yes
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