Granada 2-1 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 May 2025

Granada
2-1 HT 1-0
CD Castellon
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Granada vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
32%
4.34
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.48
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
18%
2.83
6+ Goals
9%
7.91
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 29% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.91
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
7%
4.2
X/2
10%
11.55
X/X
15%
6.53
2/1
4%
20.35
2/2
5%
8.84
2/X
12%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.8pp
32%
Draw
20%
+12.3pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Granada v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.55/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.76
+36% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
23.2 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Granada vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
1W-0D-0L
AWAY CD Castellon
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.74 xG 1.78
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
188 Passes 345
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2024 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-3 HT 2-1 Granada Granada İS2

Granada 2-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
2-1
AWAY CD Castellon
3.02 xG 0.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
26 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
341 Passes 255
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Granada vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada nicked a narrow win over CD Castellon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Granada as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Granada had 56% of the ball to CD Castellon's 44%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 3.02 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Granada's control.

What was the final score of Granada vs CD Castellon?

Granada 2-1 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Granada 48%, draw 32%, CD Castellon 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✗ Under 2.5
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