Columbus Crew 2-0 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 May 2026

📅25/05/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.46 — our 30% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
14%
4.28
X/2
9%
10.2
X/X
9%
6.17
2/1
9%
19.9
2/2
10%
7.52
2/X
6%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.66/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.77
-5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.6 Crosses 15.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Atlanta United
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.13 xG 1.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
462 Passes 394
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-3 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
14.09.2025 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-5 HT 1-5 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
26.06.2025 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-1 HT 3-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
21.07.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
24.02.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
13.11.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-2 HT 3-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
2-0
AWAY Atlanta United
2.06 xG 1.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
591 Passes 397
91% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew beat Atlanta United 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 58% of the ball to Atlanta United's 42%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 2.06 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.67 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United?

Columbus Crew 2-0 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 53%, draw 22%, Atlanta United 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Under 2.5
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