USM Khenchela 2-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 25 May 2026

USM Khenchela
2-1 HT 2-1
USM Alger
📅25/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Algeria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

USM Khenchela vs USM Alger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
24.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

USM Khenchela v USM Alger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -10%
1.37/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.01
+7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

USM Khenchela vs USM Alger Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
2W-1D-3L
AWAY USM Alger
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 1-1 HT 0-1 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
11.06.2025 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
05.02.2025 USM Alger USM Alger 3-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
16.02.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
14.10.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 3-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
13.04.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 2-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR

USM Khenchela 2-1 USM Alger — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
2-1
AWAY USM Alger
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela nicked a narrow win over USM Alger 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; USM Khenchela found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 39% of the ball to USM Alger's 61%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, USM Alger led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.50 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs USM Alger?

USM Khenchela 2-1 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 39%, draw 29%, USM Alger 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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