Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.33
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
15%
4.43
X/2
8%
8.93
X/X
10%
5.28
2/1
9%
22.9
2/2
12%
6.86
2/X
10%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
1.74/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.33
+33% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
17.2 Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.86 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 576
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-2 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JLK
09.10.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 4-1 HT 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JLK
27.09.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 5-1 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
22.06.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-2 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
29.09.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-3 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
30.08.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-2 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.35 xG 1.43
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
267 Passes 542
81% Pass Accuracy 92%
17 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale got the better of Albirex Niigata 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 35% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 65%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.35 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 2.33 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata?

Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 47%, draw 27%, Albirex Niigata 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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