Nijerya (K) 0-1 Brezilya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 25 Jul 2024

Nijerya (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Brezilya (K)
📅25/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Olympics – 2024

Nijerya (K) vs Brezilya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.75
Over 2.5
57%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.93
6+ Goals
12%
17.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.93 — our 24% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
7.91
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
10%
16.45
X/1
3%
9.56
X/2
11%
3.79
X/X
10%
4.77
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.2
2/X
7%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-8.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
53%
-10.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
47%
+10.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nijerya (K) v Brezilya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijerya (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
222 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Nijerya (K) vs Brezilya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijerya (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Brezilya (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
12.08.2008 Nijerya (K) Nijerya (K) 1-3 HT 1-3 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) OLİ

Nijerya (K) 0-1 Brezilya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijerya (K)
0-1
AWAY Brezilya (K)
1.28 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
202 Passes 216
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nijerya (K) vs Brezilya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya (K) nicked a narrow win over Nijerya (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brezilya (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Nijerya (K) had 48% of the ball to Brezilya (K)'s 52%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.28 to 1.44.

What was the final score of Nijerya (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

Nijerya (K) 0-1 Brezilya (K) in the Olympics on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijerya (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brezilya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nijerya (K) 26%, draw 26%, Brezilya (K) 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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