Royal Antwerp 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
53%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.83
1/2
9%
24.65
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
13%
8.54
X/2
14%
4.39
X/X
9%
4.8
2/1
3%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.46
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Union Saint-Gilloise win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
53%
Away Win
51%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 55%
+17% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.23/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.21
+22% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 506 · 84%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
16.2 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.96 xG 1.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
397 Passes 284
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-4 HT 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
29.03.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 5-1 HT 3-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
08.01.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 5-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK
01.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
15.09.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
09.05.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
1-1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.46 xG 2.19
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
265 Passes 381
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp and Union Saint-Gilloise couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Union Saint-Gilloise at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 43% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 57%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.46 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Royal Antwerp and 2.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Royal Antwerp 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 24%, draw 23%, Union Saint-Gilloise 53%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise)
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