Gimcheon Sangmu 3-2 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.3
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
10%
6.23
X/2
13%
5.28
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.33
2/X
10%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.27/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.26
+6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 18.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
378 Passes 345
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
30.11.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-3 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
31.08.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
18.06.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
19.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
25.08.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
3-2
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu edged past Daejeon Citizen 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Gimcheon Sangmu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.67 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Gimcheon Sangmu 3-2 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 35%, draw 29%, Daejeon Citizen 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daejeon Citizen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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