Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

Athletic Bilbao
2-2 HT 1-2
Eibar
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.9
Over
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
27%
3.33
2-3
45%
1.74
4-5
19%
3.2
6+
9%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.33 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.55
X/2
6%
8.24
X/X
10%
4.83
2/1
6%
23.5
2/2
10%
6.21
2/X
7%
14.0
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Athletic Bilbao v Eibar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar The Market 24%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.99/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.12
-47% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +53%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Eibar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 285
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.08.2024 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao HAZ
07.01.2024 Eibar Eibar 0-3 HT 0-3 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İSPK
03.08.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar HAZ
20.03.2021 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 1-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS1
27.09.2020 Eibar Eibar 1-2 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
17.06.2020 Eibar Eibar 2-2 HT 1-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1

Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Eibar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
2-2
AWAY Eibar
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Athletic Bilbao and Eibar shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.82, roughly 55%.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.83 for Eibar.

Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar Result & Final Score

Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Eibar in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Athletic Bilbao vs Eibar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 53%, draw 25%, Eibar 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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