Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Eibar v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Eibar 0-1 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Eibar 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
From a near-even 38% / 26% / 36% read, it was Athletic Bilbao who turned the coin-flip their way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 51%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.72, roughly 58%.
The match data tells the story: Eibar had 53% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 47%, shots finished 8-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eibar and 1.50 for Athletic Bilbao.
Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao Result & Final Score
Eibar 0-1 Athletic Bilbao in the Friendlies on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Eibar vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eibar 38%, draw 26%, Athletic Bilbao 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Eibar), BTTS Yes went the other way.