Empoli 1-0 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
12%
4.6
X/2
10%
7.75
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
6%
24.35
2/2
13%
5.86
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 29%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
1.00/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-41% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.57 xG 1.62
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2026 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
01.11.2025 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-0 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
26.07.2025 Empoli Empoli 1-2 HT 1-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella HAZ
20.03.2021 Empoli Empoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
12.12.2020 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-5 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
17.07.2020 Empoli Empoli 2-4 HT 2-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1-0
AWAY Virtus Entella
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli edged past Virtus Entella 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Empoli as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Empoli and 1.67 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Virtus Entella?

Empoli 1-0 Virtus Entella in the Friendlies on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Empoli 44%, draw 27%, Virtus Entella 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Empoli), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Empoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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